Armenia's Enduring Military Dependence on Russia Resists Erosion

Armenia's military dependence on Russia is a complex and long-standing relationship, but it is increasingly under strain as Armenia seeks to diversify its security partners and Russia's own geopolitical interests shift.

Russia’s Ongoing Support

Russia has long been Armenia's primary military ally, providing the country with weapons, training, and other support. This support has been crucial for Armenia's defense against Azerbaijan, with which it has fought two wars since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Russia has also played a key role in mediating between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the ongoing conflict over the Nagorno-Karabakh region.

Diversifying Security

In recent years, Armenia has begun to diversify its security partners, seeking to reduce its dependence on Russia. This has included strengthening ties with the United States, the European Union, and NATO.

Armenia has also purchased weapons from other countries, such as India and China and has participated in military exercises with NATO member states.

Shifting Geopolitical Interests

Russia's own geopolitical interests are also shifting, and this is having an impact on its relationship with Armenia.

Russia is increasingly focused on its own security in the wake of the annexation of Crimea and the war in eastern Ukraine, and it is less willing to provide military support to Armenia.

Looking Ahead

The future of Armenia's military dependence on Russia is uncertain. Russia will likely remain Armenia's most important military partner for the foreseeable future, but Armenia is likely to continue to diversify its security partners in order to reduce its dependence on Moscow.

This diversification will be a complex and challenging process, but it is essential for Armenia's long-term security.